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Best and Worse States for Stolen Car Recovery: What Consumers Need to Know
🎙️ Enjoy our PODCAST on this topic
* podcast transcript
EVA
Ever walk back to where you parked and your car’s just gone?
MAX
Oh man, I think we’ve all had that nightmare.
EVA
Yeah, it happens more than you’d think. Like back in 2011, there were over 715,000 vehicles stolen. And get this, less than half were ever recovered. Seriously. Seriously. So we’re diving into stolen cars today. All the data you sent us and well, let’s just say you might want to invest in a good car alarm after this.
MAX
Yeah, you think about a stolen car and it’s like your car, right? Your problem. But those numbers, yeah, that’s a whole other story.
EVA
Oh yeah, we’re talking $4.3 billion in losses just in that one year. Wow. So car theft’s a big deal, but here’s where it gets really interesting. Have you ever thought about recovery rates?
MAX
Recovery rates.
EVA
Like if your car gets stolen, what are the odds you’ll actually see it again?
MAX
Oh, OK.
EVA
Got it. Nationally, it’s about 46%.
MAX
So basically a coin flip.
EVA
Pretty much. But then you got to think what about your state, right?
MAX
Good point.
EVA
For example, Washington state, their recovery rate is 71%.
MAX
Washington Now that’s interesting.
EVA
Right. What are they doing up there?
MAX
Yeah, the data didn’t have all the answers, but makes you wonder. They’re police. Maybe their geography plays a part.
EVA
Who knows? And then there’s California. Tons of cars traffic everywhere but they still get 60% of stolen cars back.
MAX
Clearly doing something right.
EVA
So that’s what we’re going to unpack today, why some places are better than others and what’s happening in those states where, well, your odds aren’t so good, right? But before we get to the states with the worst recovery rates, and trust me, you’ll be surprised, what do you think? Densely populated areas automatically worse for getting your car back.
MAX
You’d think so, right? More people, more cars, more chaos.
EVA
Right. Seems like it’d be harder to find anything.
MAX
Exactly.
EVA
But is it always that?
MAX
Simple what’s the question? Isn’t.
EVA
It assumptions, right? Get ready to have yours challenged.
MAX
Ready for those low recovery rates? The ones that’ll make you want to hold on to your keys a little tighter.
EVA
Oh yeah, laid on me.
MAX
All right, let’s say you’re down in Mississippi enjoying some Blues music and your car gets stolen. Well, your chances of seeing it again are about 29%.
EVA
Oh man, that’s rough.
MAX
It doesn’t get much better in Alabama. 28% recovery rate.
EVA
Ouch. So much for Southern hospitality, right? What about Arkansas? They always get lumped in with those.
MAX
2 Arkansas’s right there with them, 28%. But get this Michigan 19 percent.
EVA
Michigan. Seriously, they make cars there. You’d figure they’d be all over that.
MAX
You’d think, right? But it’s a whole different ball game when it comes to recovery.
EVA
What’s going on in these states? Is there something they’re not telling us?
MAX
Well, it’s complicated. You’ve got organized crime for sure, but it’s more than that. Law enforcement resources. How easy is it for thieves to chop up a car and sell the parts? Even geography plays a role.
EVA
Geography.
MAX
Think about Michigan borders a bunch of other states. Plus, all that coastline makes it easy to move stolen goods around.
EVA
Makes sense, harder to track down.
MAX
Exactly, and that’s why just looking at population doesn’t tell you everything. Remember California?
EVA
Lots of cars, decent recovery rate, yeah.
MAX
Right, there’s always more to it.
EVA
OK, so we’ve covered where your car is most likely to vanish, but what kind of cars are thieves after these days? You sent over some data from 2012 and what we learn.
MAX
Well, you might be surprised to hear this, but often it’s not about flashy sports cars. Thieves go for cars that are common blend in easy to get parts for.
EVA
So like my Honda Civic is more appealing than a Lamborghini?
MAX
Hey, you laugh, but it’s true that 2012 data, Honda Accord, Toyota Camry, those are some of the most stolen cars.
EVA
Really. I never would guess that why steal something everyone and their mother drives.
MAX
Because they’re everywhere, they’re familiar, easy to offload. It’s all about opportunity.
EVA
So let me get this straight. If I’m driving a Camry in Philadelphia, I’m basically a sitting duck.
MAX
Well, I wouldn’t say that, but it does highlight how important it is to understand your own risk, where you live, what you drive, all that plays a part.
EVA
OK, this is a lot to process before we all run out and buy tanks. Let’s talk about what we can do besides locking our cars, obviously. What can our listeners do to protect themselves? So we’re talking prevention here. Beyond the obvious lock your doors, what else have we got?
MAX
Right. It’s about thinking strategically, like insurance. If you’re in one of those low recovery states, comprehensive coverage, it’s a must have.
EVA
Yeah, because if it’s stolen and you’ve got what, like a 20% chance of seeing it again?
MAX
Exactly.
EVA
That’s rough.
MAX
And it’s not even just the money, right? It’s the time, the hassle, not having a car.
EVA
Huge headache.
MAX
Comprehensive can at least help with that part of.
EVA
It OK insurance got it. You also mentioned location though, so it’s not enough to just be in a good state. Got to be parked in a good spot too.
MAX
Makes a difference. I mean, picture that Camry again parked in say, rural Alabama, Quiet St. OK, versus that same Camry parked in downtown Philly. Different story, right?
EVA
Yeah, I can see that. It’s like you’re giving me this map in my head. The theft rates, the recovery, what cars they’re after. It’s a lot.
MAX
But that’s the point of all this, isn’t it? Yeah. You’re not just going off hunches anymore.
EVA
Right, knowledge is power and all that.
MAX
Exactly. Yeah, it might feel overwhelming at first, but once you know what you’re dealing with, it’s empowering.
EVA
So true. As we wrap up here, what’s the one thing you really hope our listeners take away from all this stolen car talk?
MAX
Honestly, just think about your own situation for a minute. What state are you in? What kind of car do you drive? Where is it parked most of the time?
EVA
Simple questions, but.
MAX
Big impact. It all adds up to your chances of becoming a victim, or even better, your chances of getting your car back if it happens.
EVA
That’s what makes this so interesting, right? It’s not just stats, it’s real life.
MAX
Absolutely.
EVA
Well, we’ve covered a lot in this deep dive. Those crazy low recovery rates, what kinds of cars thieves love tons of info. So listeners assess that risk. Maybe invest in a good steering wheel lock and stay safe out there. That’s all we’ve got for today. But keep the conversation going, ask those questions, stay curious, and we’ll see you next time.
Imagine this happening. You’ve just left work … or the grocery store … or even your house, keys in hand. You look up and expect to see your car where you left it, and instead, there’s an empty parking space. And then it sinks in. You’ve been the victim of car theft.
Unfortunately, this is an experience many have every year. Even though vehicle thefts have declined slightly, the FBI says that in 2011 alone, more than 715,000 cars and trucks were stolen. Of these, less than half were recovered, with total losses of $4.3 million.
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Recovery Rates by State
Progressive Insurance revealed a thorough report which details the best and worst states when it comes to recovering a stolen vehicle. They concluded that the average chances of a vehicle being recovered is 46%. As mentioned above, Washington is at the top of the list with a recovery rate of 71%, followed by Utah (63%), South Dakota (61%), Nevada (61%) and California (60%).
Except for California, these states are sparsely populated. In fact, California’s recovery rate is extremely impressive, considering the fact that the Golden State has the highest number of vehicle thefts thanks to its large population and dense urban areas.
This video shows the California vehicle recovery authorities in action.
Meanwhile, in other states with dense urban areas such as New York, Florida, Texas and New Jersey, the number of auto thefts is unsurprisingly high with many stolen cars winding up in “chop shops” and sold for parts, but even they don’t have the worst recovery rates.
Unfortunately, that distinction goes to Mississippi (29%), Alabama (28%), Arkansas (28%), Pennsylvania (26%) and—worst of all—Michigan (19%).
So … what does this mean for a car owner? First, remember that these numbers tell you how likely you are to get your car back if it is stolen. It doesn’t tell you if you are likely to be the victim of car theft. For that, we need a broader picture.
Here are the top 10 states with the highest number of auto thefts in 2012:
- California
- Florida
- Texas
- New York
- Illinois
- Georgia
- New Jersey
- Maryland
- North Carolina
- Nevada
Likewise, some cars are bigger targets than others. According to the National Insurance Crimes Bureau, here are the top 10 stolen vehicles in the country based on 2012 data:
So, let’s say you’re a school teacher living in rural Alabama driving a 12-year-old Ford Taurus. Even though you live in a low-recovery state, your chances of being an auto theft victim aren’t that high anyway, and your car doesn’t carry that much value. Expensive comprehensive coverage may not make much sense.
Conversely, if you drive a Toyota Camry right in downtown Philadelphia, you’re a prime target in a state with a low recovery rate. Consider the expense of replacing your vehicle and look at comprehensive policies that will give you peace of mind.
Ultimately, there is almost no way to know for certain who will be a victim of auto theft and who won’t. So, besides carefully weighing your risks and choosing an appropriate type and amount of coverage, never forget these basic, common-sense rules:
- Never forget to take your key with you when leaving your car.
- Close and lock all windows and doors.
- Park in well-lit areas. If your house has a garage, use it.
- Keep valuables out of sight.
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